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Kazakh Zerno - News and analysis of cereals

Kazakh Zerno - News and analysis of cereals
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Export prices of cereals and flour in dollars per ton, including VAT 0% (Franco-border) on 19.01.2018 PDF Print E-mail

Station name

wheat 3 class, gluten

wheat 4 class

wheat 5 class

barley

flour

terms of supply

23-24%

27-30%

-

2 class

extra class

first-rate

second-rate

Sale

Sale

Sale

Sale

Sale

Sale

Sale

Sale

Petropavlovsk (South-Ural Railway)

128-133

133-138

98-103

-

142-147

253-258

229-234

204-209

DAP

Sary-agash

150-155

156-161

130-135

-

165-170

264-269

240-245

216-221

DAP

Lugovaya

143-148

150-155

114-119

-

161-166

261-266

237-242

212-217

DAP

Tobol

137-142

143-148

109-114

-

154-159

262-267

234-2397

211-216

DAP

port of Aktau

154-159

161-166

135-140

-

172-177

279-284

254-259

231-236

FOB

Bekabad

165-170

172-177

135-140

-

184-189

289-294

264-269

251-246

СРТ

Hajraton

210-215

219-224

182-187

-

230-236

322-327

310-315

275-280

СРТ

Kudukli

221-226

226-231

190-195

-

235-240

329-334

305-310

281-286

СРТ

Sarahs

188-193

201-206

165-170

-

192-197

293-298

267-272

263-268

DAP

Grain market has revived a little against the background of the decision to replenish its reserves

Новость на Казах-зерно:

Is better performance in the AIC possible under the existing system of crediting agricultural producers when, on the one hand, a peasant is unable to invest in his next production cycle after paying debts with their unreasonably high interest? And on the other hand - these loans are sometimes simply unavailable. The AIC of Kazakhstan stands on the verge of a new modernization on the basis of computerization of production and servicing processes, the transfer of advanced technologies and the wide engaging of the scientific and creative potential of entrepreneurship in the AIC. This was stated by the Head of Kazakhstan in his last address to the people of Kazakhstan. One of the measures of support, according to the Head of State, is the re-orientation of inefficient subsidies to reduce the cost of bank loans for agribusiness entities. And this is correct, since it is impossible to build modern production with the help of “cavate and bloodthirsty" methods of lending of it. And at the moment, the decision to create a reserve of food grain in case of a possible drought revived the market," the analyst of the IA "Kazakh-Zerno" notes.

World market

In December, wheat quotations on the American continent and in the Old World changed in different directions and in different dynamics. In the US, wheat for the period fell to the lowest values in 2017-18 MY, then it rose, but in the end it was in the minus column. In Britain, the quotes movement was less volatile with the same result. In France, wheat has strengthened its positions, but to some extent due to the increase in the euro against the dollar in December.

Let's remind, in October quotations of wheat in the USA and Europe were in the red. In November, the world wheat market was not so unambiguous. American wheat partially won back the lost value, but has not yet restored its positions of early October. British cereals rose by one percent, and French wheat again moved down, even more than in the previous period. In the foreign exchange market, the dollar fell against the euro and pound almost all of November, creating additional price advantages for American wheat in the export market in relation to European grain.

In early December, a slight rise in wheat prices was replaced by a more severe fall. From December 1 to December 8 wheat quotations in France, Britain, and especially in the US fell down. March futures in Chicago lost about 7 dollars per ton for a week. By the middle of the month, from December 8 to December 15, wheat quotations in Europe almost recovered after the fall of the previous week. From December 15 to 22, quotations of wheat on the American and European continents moved in different directions and with different dynamics. In the US wheat rose most, in France - within one percent, and in Britain it declined.

Growth of French wheat in American denomination, as well as a decrease of the British grain, was encouraged by the situation in the foreign exchange market. US dollar for the period fell against the euro and rose against the pound, respectively pushing the French wheat up, and the British down.

The last exchange week of 2017 in the Old World and America was shorter than usual. On Monday, December 25, market participants, along with the rest of the population of these continents, celebrated Christmas in Catholic style. Exchanges in the US, France and Britain did not hold tenders, and the quotations remained the same since last week. The world wheat balance remains surplus with growing closing grain stocks, which increased over five seasons, according to the USDA, by almost 74 million tons. In the 2013-14 MY, they amounted to 194.776 million tons, and in the current - 268.417 million tons.

Expert forecasts

On December 12, the regular USDA report for the 2017-18 season was released. The report increased the forecast of the volume of world wheat trade from 182,159 to 183,764 million tons, as well as raised the forecast of world production from 751,975 to 755,206 million tons, and consumption to a lesser extent - from 740,053 to 742,117 million tons. As a result, the closing stocks of the season increased from 267,532 to 268,417 million tons. The surplus wheat balance leaves little cause for a significant increase in prices.

For rice, the forecast of trade increased from 45.102 to 45.542 million tons, production - from 481.195 to 483.469 million tons, and consumption from 480.363 to 480.755 million tons. The closing stocks of this grain increased from 138.939 to 140.725 million tons.

The forecast of world trade of corn remained the same - 151.415 million tons. Production and consumption of corn increased from 1,043.900 to 1,044.752 million tons and from 1,066.623 to 1,068.013 million tons, respectively, and closing stocks - from 203,860 to 204,077 million tons.

The forecast of trade for barley increased from 25.710 to 25.840 million tons. Its production in the report was raised from 141.660 to 141.863 million tons, consumption - from 147.139 to 147.414 million tons, and closing stocks reduced from 18.849 to 18.834 million tons.

Cost situation

We recall, from October 27 to December 1, wheat quotations in London increased by $1 per ton, or 1 percent, in Paris fell by $4.3 per ton, or 2.2 percent, while in Chicago it increased by $4.1, or by 2.6 percent. Corn in the US rose by $4 per ton, or 2.9 percent, and soybean by $2.9 per ton, or 0.8 percent. Rapeseed in Paris fell by 3.75 euros per ton, or 1 percent, and corn rose by 1.75 euros per ton, or by 1.2 percent.

From December 1 to December 8 wheat quotes in London fell by $1.5 per ton, or 99.2 percent, in Paris - by $4.3 per ton, or 97.7 percent, and in Chicago by $7.2 per ton, or 95.5 percent. Corn in the US fell by $2.4 per ton, or 98.3 percent, and soybean by $1.7 per ton, or 99.5 percent. Rapeseed in Paris fell by 2 euros, or 99.5 percent, and corn rose by 0.5 euros per ton, or 100.3 percent.

From December 8 to December 15, wheat quotations in London rose by $1.1 per ton or 100.6 percent, in Paris - by $5.4 per ton or 102.9 percent, while in Chicago they dropped by $0.2 per ton or 99.9 percent. Corn in the US fell by $2 dollars per ton or 98.6 percent, and soybean by $4.3 per ton or 98.8 percent. Rapeseed in Paris fell by 4.75 euros or 98.7 percent, and corn by 2.75 euros per ton or 98.2 percent.

From December 15 to December 22, wheat quotations in London fell by $1.9 per ton, or 99 percent, in Paris rose by $1.4 per ton, or 100.7 percent, and in Chicago by $2.3 per ton, or 101.5 percent. Corn in the US increased by $1.7 per ton, or 101.2 percent, and soybean fell by $6.5 per ton, or 98.2 percent. Rapeseed in Paris fell by 7.75 euros, or 97.8 percent, and corn by 3.25 euros per ton, or 102.1 percent.

From December 22 to December 29, wheat quotations in London increased by $1.3 per ton, or 100.7 percent, in Paris - by $0.3 per ton, or 100.2 percent, and in Chicago by $3.8 per ton, or 102.4 percent. Corn in the US fell by $0.5 per ton, or 99.6 percent, while soybean grew by $ 0.5 per ton, or 100.1 percent. Rapeseed in Paris fell by 1.75 euros, or 99.5 percent, and corn by 2.25 euros per ton, or 98.5 percent.

In total, from December 1 to December 29, wheat quotations in London fell by $1 per ton, or 0.5 percent, in Paris rose by $2.8 per ton, or by 1.5 percent, and in Chicago fell by $1.3, or by 0.8 percent. Corn in the US fell by $ 3.2 per ton, or 2.3 percent, and soybean by $12 per ton, or 3.3 percent. Rapeseed in Paris fell by 16.25 euros per ton, or 4.4 percent, and corn by 1.25 euros per ton, or by 0.8 percent.

In the last month of 2017, from December 1 to December 29, changes in the FOB grain market took place in a multidirectional mode. In early December, prices declined, and the end of last year was marked by an increase in wheat prices in the FOB cash market - cash prices of wheat, barley, corn and soybeans on this basis in the ports of America and Europe grew in various proportions almost without exception. But as a result, soft wheat in the US declined, and HRW - increased. Russian and French wheat has not changed. The French barley grew in price, while the Russian barley remained at the same level. Corn in the US grew, and soybean fell, as well as in Argentina.

From December 1 to December 29, soft wheat SRW on FOB delivery basis from ports in the US fell by $2, from $187 to $185 per ton. Wheat HRW with a protein content of 11% gained $7, from $200 to $207 per ton. High-protein wheat - 14% fell by $2, from $292 to $290 per ton. Corn in US ports increased in price by $5.6, from $157.4 to $163 per ton.

French wheat in the port of Rouen has not changed from December 1 to December 29, but rose by $3 in the last week of the month, from $190 to $193 per ton. Barley grew by $3, from $184 to $187 per ton. Russian wheat in the Black Sea ports went up and down during the period, but by the end of the month it maintained its position - $191 per ton. Russian barley and corn on the basis of the Black Sea did not change over the month and stood at $ 192 per ton and $ 166 per ton, respectively.

Soybeans from the USA on FOB delivery basis fell from $381to $370 per ton. In Argentina, soybeans fell in price from $376 to $361 per ton.

Russia

At the end of 2017, on December 29, preliminary results of the harvesting campaign in Russia in 2017 were published. This year, by its record results, surprised not only participants of the Russian market, but also many experts and specialists of the foreign agricultural world.

The year 2017 was quite challenging for agricultural producers in the Russian Federation, and emergency situations were announced in 21 regions of the country. But, despite a set of unfavorable weather conditions (drought, hail, flood), as well as waterlogging during harvesting, it was possible to collect record harvests of individual crops, according to the press service of the Ministry of Agriculture of Russia.

This year, a record gross harvest of grain and leguminous crops was received - 134.1 million tons in net weight, which is 11.2% more than in 2016 (120.7 million tons) and 35.3% more than production on average for 5 years (average for 5 years (2012-2016) - 98.1 million tons).

For the first time in the history of Russia, 85.8 million tons of wheat were harvested in net weight, which is 17.1% more than in 2016 (73.3 million tons) and 50.4% more than average production over 5 years (average for 5 years - 56.5 million tons). At the end of the year, a record amount of buckwheat was harvested - 1.5 million tons (2016 - 1.2 million tons).

Among the achievements of plant growing in 2017, it should be noted the production of soybeans, the gross harvest of which is 3.6 million tons, which is 5 times more than production in 1990, 1.6 times higher than the average for 5 years (2.3 million tons) and 14.1% more than in 2016 (3.1 million tons).

The record gross rapeseed harvest was collected - 1.5 million tons in net weight, which is 7 times more than in 1990, 34.9% higher than the average for 5 years (1.1 million tons) and 50.5% more than in 2016 (998.9 thousand tons).

Sunflower was harvested on an area of 6.9 million hectares (87.8% of the area), 10.4 million tons were threshed (11.4 million tons in 2016), with a yield of 15.2 quintals per hectare (in 2016 - 15.9 q / ha). Gross harvest in weight after processing is 9.6 million tons. Sunflower harvesting is not yet complete.

The planted acreage of sugar beet amounted to 1.2 million hectares; 48.2 million tons were harvested in standard weight, with a yield of 430.2 quintals per hectare. This volume will allow loading existing processing capacities in full and produce 6.5 million tons of sugar, or 4.8% more than in 2016 (6.26 million tons in 2016). In 2016, self-sufficiency in sugar reached 94.6%.

According to the data of the governing bodies of the AIC, the gross yield of potatoes in all categories of farms was 29.6 million tons. Potatoes Agricultural organizations and peasant (farmer) farms accumulated 6.7 million tons of potatoes (in 2016 - 6.8 million tons), with a yield of 195.9 q / ha (in 2016 - 219.1 q/ ha).

Gross harvest of vegetables in farms of all categories amounted to 16.3 million tons, which is 51 thousand tons higher than last year (in 2016 - 16.3 million tons). Agricultural organizations and peasant (farmer) farms harvested 6.0 million tons of vegetables (2016 - 5.5 million tons). Gross harvest of fruits and berries amounted to 2.9 million tons, which is 11% lower than in 2016 (in 2016 - 3.3 million tons).

The harvest yields most of the country's domestic food needs, increases its export potential, and makes a significant contribution to the country's food independence and import substitution.

Sowing of winter crops. The forecast of sowing of winter crops for the harvest-2018 was 17.4 million hectares, which is at the level of the previous year. However, according to recent reports of governing bodies of the AIC, as of December 25, 2017, the acreage of winter crops (17.1 million hectares) was 251.8 thousand hectares less than at the same date in 2016 (17.3 million hectares) . The sowing of winter crops was complicated by unfavorable weather and climatic conditions. According to Roshydromet, conditions for sowing in the second half of August and September were complicated in several areas of the Central, Volga, North-West federal districts and in the northeast of Western Siberia due to frequent rains, and in the southern-most regions of the Central and south-eastern regions of the Volga federal district due to a lack of moisture in the soil. In a number of these regions, winter cereals were sown later than the optimal terms on 30-50% of the areas, and in some south-western regions of the North-West federal district later than the deadlines.

According to Roshydromet, as of November 25, 2017, winter crops are in good and satisfactory condition on the territory of the Russian Federation on an area of 16.24 million hectares (95% of the total sown area). The area with a poor state of seeds (thinned out and unvegetated) is 0.88 million hectares or 5% of the total sown area (0.52 million hectares in 2016, 1.34 million ha on average for the period 2012-2016).

Expert Forecasts

The December report of the USDA for the 2017-18 season increased the forecast of wheat exports for Russia by 0.5 million tons, from 33 to 33.5 million tons, but the production forecast remained the same - 83 million tons. The level of consumption has not changed - 44 million tons, and closing stocks are reduced from 17.33 to 16.83 million tons. The share of Russia in world wheat production in five years rose from 7.2 to 11%, and the share of world exports of this grain - from 11.5 to 18.2%.

The forecast of corn exports from Russia decreased from 5.5 to 5 million tons, and its production - from 15 to 14 million tons. Data on barley exports did not change - 4.8 million tons, as well as its production - 20.5 million tons. The consumption forecast for barley increased from 15.4 to 15.7 million tons, and the balance at the end of the 2017-18 season, on the contrary, was reduced. The production and consumption of oats will be at the level of 4.9 million tons with little export and closing stocks. Rye output will be 2.5 million tons, of which 2.4 million tons will be spent on consumption.

Cost situation

In general terms, December in the grain market of Russia was a relatively stable period. Some cereals have retained their November ruble price values, others have not changed much with a small roll in different directions. The exception was barley, which, on the general background, stood out with significant growth. However, in November it was almost the same. The reasons for this exclusive behavior of barley in the market are in sight. The crop has become the most popular forage crop in the domestic market and for exports, which has increased in relation to the previous season. Its outstripping growth is associated with an increase in seasonal winter demand from livestock sector, as it remains one of the main forage crops in Russia. In addition to barley, for December, feed wheat grew for the same reason, but to a much lesser extent. The leader of the decline was corn, which by the end of the year lost the competition with barley and fell below its level. Food wheat of 4 class retained its former positions, and wheat of 3 class moderately decreased.

On exchange market in December, the dollar fell significantly against the ruble. For this reason, all the crops in the American equivalent have strengthened their positions.

In early December, the dynamics of cereals in Russia, as well as for the last part of November, remained mixed. In the wheat segment, grain of 3 class fell, while 4 class and fodder wheat grew. Food rye has risen marginally, and barley has again risen the most. Corn this time fell down. The varied in different directions against the ruble for the period, but in the end it remained in the winning position, decreasing the values of Russian grain in American denomination. All crops in the dollar denomination declined in different degrees.

At the beginning of the month from December 1 to December 8, the price movements of Russian cereals were multidirectional. Wheat fell and rose depending on the class, and barley increased the most, as the most popular forage crop in the winter season in the domestic market and for export. And it happened again after its rise in late November.

From December 8 to December 15, it was in the leaders of growth again. Wheat of 3 class rose slightly, and 4 class and fodder wheat declined. Last week was the other way round. Food rye and corn were in the red. Over the period, the dollar fell against the ruble and Russian grain in its denomination grew in greater dynamics.

From December 15 to December 22, prices for Russian cereals continued to move in dissimilar ways, with only smaller amplitude. This time, all the wheat was in a small minus, and a week earlier, the 3 class of wheat rose, and 4 class and its fodder part were fell. Barley again rose, remaining in the favorites of growth, now with food rye, and corn fell in the same proportion. On exchange market, over the period the dollar fell significantly against the ruble, strengthening the values of Russian grain in its denomination.

Over the last week of last year, from December 22 to December 29, grain crops have not changed significantly. Some positions have changed very slightly, while others have generally remained in place. However, prices in the American denomination have thoroughly grown from $1.1 to $1.9 per ton for different types of crops. For this week, as in the previous period, the ruble significantly increased against the dollar by almost 1.6 percent, from 58.5596 to 57.6291 rubles per US dollar.

In total, from December 1 to December 29 in Russia, wheat of 3 class fell by 35 rubles per ton, or 0.4 percent, wheat of 4 class did not change, and fodder wheat increased by 35 rubles per ton, or by 0.6 percent. Food rye remained at the same level, barley rose by 165 rubles per ton, or by 2.6 percent, while corn fell by 50 rubles per ton, or 0.8 percent.

From December 1 to December 29, in the American denomination, wheat of 3 class increased by $1.7, or 1.2 percent, wheat of 4 class by $1.9 per ton, or by 1.7 percent, fodder wheat by $ 2.2 per ton, or by 2.2 percent. Food rye rose by $1.4 per ton, or by 1.5 percent, barley by $4.6 per ton, or 4.2 percent, and corn - by $0.9 per ton, or by 0.8 percent.

International sales

The export of grain from Russia from July 1 to December 6, 2017 amounted to 22,785 thousand tons. The current average export contract price for wheat in Russia is 173 US dollars / ton. From October 27 to December 1, Russian wheat in the ports of the Black Sea FOB fell by 2 US dollars, from 193 to 191 dollars per ton. Russian barley on the basis of the Black Sea increased by $ 3, from 189 to 192 US dollars per ton. In November, 480 thousand tons of wheat were sold at GASC tenders. The share of Russian wheat in the company's purchases in the current season was 77.4%.

Kazakhstan

In December, after finishing the summing-up of the harvesting of grain crops, farmers faced the problem of sale the harvested crop. We recall, the grain harvest in Kazakhstan this year was about 21.5 million tons. But almost immediately after the end of harvesting, farmers had difficulties with the sale of wheat. Due to the shortage of freight cars, both the shipment for export and the deliveries inside the country were stopped. The problem of transporting surplus grain for export this year is complicated by the high supply of grain from Russia, which received a record harvest of grain crops. Since Russia and Kazakhstan use the same channels for the sale of grain, they were jammed with increased volumes of this shipped production. In this situation, Kazakhstan, as a country remote from export ports, as well as the internal deep-continental regions of Russia, was in the worst situation. For export, the market takes grain, first of all, from the nearest, most profitable regions from the point of view of logistics.

Expert Forecasts

The USDA report for the 2017-18 MY of December 12 for Kazakhstan kept the forecast of wheat exports at the same level - 7.5 million tons, and barley - 0.6 million tons. Wheat production forecast for Kazakhstan in the report is 14 million tons, and barley - 2.7 million tons.

In December, the report of the International Grains Council (IGC) is not published, and in the previous report the following positions are defined for Kazakhstan regarding its grain balance. For the past 2016-17 season, everything remained the same. For the current 2017-18 season, closing grain stocks have been raised, and the total annual balance and export forecast has been reduced separately for wheat, but closing stocks have been increased.

For the 2016-17 MY with opening stocks of 3.2 million tons, production was at the level of 19.4 million tons of grain, import - 0.1 million tons, the total seasonal balance was previously increased from 22.7 to 22.8 million tons, consumption - 10.9 million tons. The export forecast was earlier reduced from 8.3 to 8.2 million tons. The closing grain stocks will amount to 3.7 million tons.

In general, in 2017-18 in the IGC forecast for Kazakhstan only carryover stocks are increased for grain. Initial reserves will be at the level of 3.7 million tons, production - 17.9 million tons of grain with its import of 0.1 mg tons. The total annual balance is 21.7 million tons. Domestic consumption is 10 million tons, exports - 8.2 million tons, and closing stocks are reduced from 3.4 to 3.5 million tons.

Separately for wheat, the IGC forecast for Kazakhstan did not change in October. In the 2016-17 MY, the opening stocks will amount to 2.6 million tons, production - 15 million tons, import - 0.1 million tons. The total wheat balance is projected at 17.7 million tons. Domestic consumption for food, feed and technical purposes is 7.1 million tons. Wheat exports are 7.4 million tons. The closing stocks will be within 3.2 million tons.

IGC forecast for wheat for Kazakhstan for the next 2017-18 MY. Opening stocks will amount to 3.2 million tons, production - 13.8 million tons, imports - 0.1 million tons. The total wheat balance decreased from 17.1 to 17 million tons. Domestic consumption for food, feed and technical purposes is 6.8 million tons. Wheat exports were earlier reduced from 7.4 to 7.3 million tons, and closing stocks were increased from 2.9 to 3 million tons.

Grain stocks

Grain stocks in Kazakhstan grew three months in different proportions, in November they began to decline and by December 1 decreased by approximately 2.3 million tons in a month. Food grain decreased to the greatest extent, forage- to a lesser extent,while the volumes of seed grain continued to grow.

As of December 1, according to the Committee on Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan, 17,710,481 tons of grain was registered in the republic, and decreased for the period from November 1 to December 1 as a result of domestic consumption, exports (495.6 thousand tons in November, according to KTZ data), refractions and losses by 2,297,992 tons, or by 11.5 percent.

In October, the volume of food grain in Kazakhstan decreased from 15,735,335 to 13,584,691 tons, by 2,150,644 tons, or by 13.7 percent, forage grain decreased from 2,729,534 to 2,489,163 tons, by 240,571 tons, or by 8.8 percent. Seed grain fund grew from 1,543,604 to 1,636,627 tons, by 93,023 tons, or by 6 percent.

In the context of individual crops, the dynamics of changes in stocks in November was different. Wheat decreased in volume by 1,737,751 tons, or 89.1 percent, from 15,933,552 on November 1 to 14,195,801 tons as of December 1, corn increased by 17,279 tons, or 110.5 percent, from 164,397 to 181,676 tons, the rice decreased by 56,946 tons, or 85.1 percent, from 383,427 to 326,481 tons.

The amount of barley reduced by 353,930 tons, or 85.8 percent, from 2,498,931 to 2,145,001 tons, rye - by 1,873 tons, or 93.5 percent, from 28,746 to 26,873 tons, oats - by 35,158 tons, or 87.1 percent, from 272,476 to 237,318 tons.

The amount of buckwheat decreased by 11,021 tons, or 89.2 percent, from 101,998 to 90,977 tons, millet - by 4,329 tons, or 83.3 percent, from 25,896 to 21,567 tons, a mixture of cereals by 40,766 tons, or 75 percent, from 163,265 to 122,499 tons.

In November, the level of grain stocks declined in most regions, except for the Atyrau region, where the amount of grain increased from 815 to 985 tons, Mangistau - from 2,290 to 4,172 tons, in the South Kazakhstan region from 119,211 to 182,622 tons, and Almaty from 1,671 to 4,132 tons. In the grain belt of Kazakhstan, namely in the three largest grain areas in the north of the republic, grain volumes decreased by more than 11 percent, and most of the grain departed from the North Kazakhstan region. In September, in the main grain regions, grain volumes increased 3 or more times, which was higher than the average republican indicators. In October, the dynamics of growth, as well as in general across Kazakhstan, was lower.

By December 1, for November, in the Akmola region, grain reserves decreased by 474,514 tons, or by 9 percent, with a share in the total grain balance of 27 percent, in the Kostanay region - by 597,304 tons, or by 11.8 percent, from a share of 25.2 percent. In the North Kazakhstan region, grain production decreased by 802,876 tons, or by 14.4 percent, with a share in total reserves of 26.9 percent.

In total, in three regions reserves decreased by 2,515,320 tons, or by 11.7 percent, and reached 14,012,485 tons, or 79.1 percent of the total grain volume in the republic. In peasant farms and farm enterprises, as of October 1, 802,876 tons were stored in the North-Kazakhstan region, 1,161,269 tons in Kostanay region and 524,434 tons in Akmola region.

Exchange trade

In December, grain sales in the section of agricultural products of the ETS increased by 21,665 tons compared with November, although the number of deals was smaller. They traded wheat of 3, 4 classes and barley of 2 class. In addition to this traditional grain for the exchange trade, a small batch of milled rice was sold.

In total, from 1 to 29 December, 40 grain deals were realized with the sale of 139,331 tons to the amount of 6,383,388,600 tenge. The bulk of the sold grain was wheat - 36 deals and 134,132 tons sold in the amount of 6,174,468,600 tenge. For barley 3 deals were made and 5,131 tons were sold in the amount of 180,400,000 tenge. One deal was made for the milled rice in the volume of 68 tons in the amount of 10,880,000 tenge.

In November, the number of transactions and their volume in the commodity weight in the section of agricultural products of the ETS was less than in October. But in the range of sales there were new products. If in October wheat of 1 and 2 classes appeared on the exchange for the first time this season, in November milled rice and white sugar were new products. Their sales were small compared to traditional cereals, but, nevertheless, they expanded the range of trade agreements.

In total, from October 27 to December 1, 47 deals were made on agricultural products with the sale of 117,666 tons of products to the amount of 5,203,240,854 tenge. The grain accounted for 45 deals; it was sold 117,394 tons of grain to the amount of 5,157,136,854 tenge. Including 35 deals for wheat (101,869 tons) in the amount of 4,547,729,354 tenge, and 10 deals for barley in the volume of 15,525 tons in the amount of 609,407,500 tenge.

At the moment, the following domestic prices are formed:

***

Сurrently, you can buy wheat of 3 class from new harvest in Astana for 42,600 tenge per ton. First-rate flour in the capital of our country costs 79,000 tenge per ton. Second-rate flour is sold at 77,000 tenge per ton. Flour of extra-class costs 80,500 tenge per ton.

A ton of wheat of 3 class can be purchased for 42,700 tenge, wheat with gluten content above 27 percent – for 47,700 tenge per ton, barley of a 2 class now costs 39,500 tenge per ton in Akmola region. Flour of extra class costs 80,500 tenge, first- and second-rate flour is offered at 79,000 tenge and 77,000 tenge per ton, respectively.

In the North Kazakhstan region wheat of 3 class is sold by 40,300 tenge per ton, wheat with gluten content above 27 percent - by 43,900 tenge. The current price of barley is 38,000 tenge per ton. In the North Kazakhstan the price of flour of extra class is 76,500 tenge per ton; first-rate flour costs 74,500 tenge and second-rate flour costs 72,500 tenge per ton.

In Kostanay region the price of wheat of 3 class rose to the level of 41,100 tenge per ton. Wheat with gluten content above 27 percent is sold at 45,800 tenge. The price of barley of 2 class is 39,200 tenge per ton. The market price of flour of all classes went down: extra class – to 78,300 tenge per ton, first-rate – to 76,800 tenge and second-rate flour to 74,800 tenge per ton.

In Pavlodar region the price of wheat of 3 class is 42,200 tenge per ton. The price of barley is 39,200 tenge per ton. Flour of extra class costs 79,500 tenge per ton, first-rate flour costs 78,000 tenge per ton, second-rate flour costs 76,000 tenge per ton.

In Karaganda region wheat of 3 class costs 42,000 tenge per ton, wheat with gluten content above 27 percent costs 45,700 tenge per ton. The price of barley is 40,000 tenge per ton. In Karaganda, traders sell flour of all rates at the following prices: first-rate – 78,300 tenge per ton, second-rate –76,300 tenge per ton and extra class –79,800 tenge per ton.

Wheat prices grew in the East and west Kazakhstan regions over the past period. In the East Kazakhstan region of the country the price of wheat of 3 class fixed at 39,200 tenge per ton, barley – 40,500 tenge per ton. In the West of the country wheat of 3 class costs 43,700 tenge. The cost of first-rate flour in East Kazakhstan is 81,600 tenge per ton, second-rate flour costs 79,700 tenge, per ton, and flour of extra class – 83,100 tenge per ton. In the West Kazakhstan prices for flour are as follows: extra class costs 82,200 tenge, first-rate –80,700 tenge, second-rate-78,700 tenge, respectively.

In Almaty region the price of wheat of 3 class for today is offered by 48,700 tenge per ton. Barley of 2 class is sold at 41,900 tenge per ton. The cost of flour of extra class in this region is 84,500 tenge per ton, first-rate – 83,000 tenge per ton, second-rate – 81,000 tenge per ton.

In Zhambyl region the price of wheat of 3 class for today costs 48,300 tenge per ton, barley of 2 class is sold by 42,000 tenge per ton. The cost of flour of extra class in this region is 85,600 tenge per ton, first-rate –84,100 tenge per ton, second-rate – 82,100 tenge per ton.

In the South Kazakhstan region wheat of 3 class is offered by 50,400 tenge per ton, barley – by 40,7000 tenge per ton. The cost of flour of extra class in this region is 87,300 tenge per ton, first-rate – 85,800 tenge per ton, second-rate –83,800 tenge per ton.

In Aktobe region wheat of 3 class is offered by 47,800 tenge per ton. Flour of extra class can be purchased for 84,700 per ton, first-rate – 83,200 tenge per ton, second-rate – 81,200 tenge per ton.

In Kyzylorda region wheat of 3 class is sold currently at 50,000 tenge per ton. The cost of flour of extra class is 85,400 tenge per ton, first-rate – 83,900 tenge per ton and second-rate – 81,900 tenge per ton.

In the south capital, Almaty, you can buy wheat of 3 class by 48,700 tenge per ton. Flour of extra class costs in Almaty 84,500 tenge per ton, first-rate – 83,000, and second-rate – 81,000 tenge per ton, respectively.

Export

The cost of wheat of 3 class with gluten content of 23 percent on DAP terms at the station Lugovaya (Kazakhstan – Kyrgyzstan) is $143-148 per ton, with gluten content of 27-30 percent - $150-155per ton. Barley costs $161-166 per ton. Flour of extra class is sold at $261-266; the cost of first-rate flour is $237-242 and the second-rate -$ 212-217 per ton.

At the elevators of the South Ural railway the current cost of wheat of 3 class is $128-133 per ton, wheat with gluten content above 27 percent - $133-138. The price of barley there is $142-147 per ton. Flour of extra class can be bought by $253-258; first-rate flour is $229-234 and the second-rate - $204-209 per ton, respectively.

At the station Sary-Agash (Kazakhstan – Uzbekistan, DAP) wheat of 3 class costs $150-155, wheat with gluten content above 27-30 percent – $156-161. The price of barley there is $165-170. Flour of extra class can be bought by $264-269, first-rate flour is $240-245 and the second-rate -$216-221 per ton.

At the station Tobol (DAP) wheat of 3 class costs $137-142 wheat with gluten content above 27-30 percent – $143-148. Barley is sold by $154-159 per ton. Flour of extra class can be bought by $262-267, first-rate flour is $234-239 and the second-rate -$211-216 per ton.

The average price of wheat of 3 class at the station Hajraton (Uzbekistan – Tajikistan, CPT) is $210-215 per ton; wheat with gluten content above 27-30 percent is sold at $219-224 per ton. Barley can be bought by $230-236 per ton. Flour of extra class is offered by $322-327, first-rate flour is $310-315 and the second-rate - $275-280 per ton.

In the port of Aktau on FOB conditions wheat is sold at $154-159, wheat with gluten content above 27-30 percent is sold at $161-166, barley - $172-177. Flour of extra class is sold at $279-284, first-rate flour – by $254-259 and second-rate - by $231-236 per ton.

Reference: $1 = 325.2 tenge; 1 euro = 397.13 tenge; 1 ruble = 5.74 tenge

Alimbek Gabitov

 




 

 

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